This week, we have a Fight Pass card in Singapore. Because it is in Singapore, we must wake up at 4:30am ET to watch it live. I have set the alarm and that I will be up ready to sweat these early fights. DraftKings does not have many big tournaments this week so that I will personally be playing more money games and less GPPs. I will still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment this week will be in money games. But, there is still money to be won so here are a Couple of plays I like and my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a boring fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights usually score as a whole along with the winner almost always pays off their price tag in DraftKings. I usually look for 100 total points if I stack a struggle in cash and that I think with this being a probable 5-rounds, it should assess well over that. Should Edwards win this fight, it’s probably an early KO, and if this happens he’ll score quite high. If Cerrone wins, he could lock up a entry or a knockout and that will readily 10x his cost of $7.6k. However, either way, you have the winner at your lineup and the ensured 30-90 win bonus points if you do stack. I think this fight is going to be fun as long as it lasts and there ought to be a fantastic number of points added up before one of these two get finished. When it does go 5 rounds, these two should still get over 100 total points with the pace Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP drama of this week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang constantly puts on a show when he measures in the Octagon. He is a quick pace fighter that scores well on DraftKings if he wins. I believe he must be the better fighter wherever this fight ends up against Abe. In addition, I believe he can complete this battle on the feet or the floor and if this happens he’d probably pay off his high cost of $9.2k. He is the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and that I believe he has the highest ceiling. That’s what we want in GPPs is a ceiling, so that is the reason why Jingliang is my GPP play of this week.
Underdog play of this week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favourite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His gambling line has shifted to him being a slight favorite at -120 but he is $400 cheaper than his competitor. I believe saving that $400 is a good move in cash or GPP games so that I enjoy Yadong in all formats. I think Yadong will look to maintain this battle on the toes and hunt for that KO win. If he can get the win, I think he must easily pay off that cost and get at least 10x.
Fade of the week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My main difficulty with Pereira is that she’s too pricey. At $8.8k, I need at least 88 points from her and I believe she needs get a finish to perform that. I don’t see that happening and neither does Vegas using a +617 ITD line. She doesn’t strike at a high enough speed or land sufficient takedowns to evaluate 88 points in my opinion. In her 2 UFC wins she held her competitor against the fence to get a fantastic section of the fight and no issues have been scored when that occurs. If she does this again , there is no way she comes close to 88 points even with a win. I have a full fade on Pereira this week and that I will pay up for different favorites instead.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on each struggle, my private approaches & recommendations, and also my pick prediction for every struggle then you can discover that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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