UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays

Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both men come into this battle career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in several ways. Durability and cardio is going to be a large factor and there a not many tougher than Blachowicz. Santos yells everything with complete power and is based on finishing opponents. In a five round combat this approach is a risky one that will backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of his own but conserves cardio to get a more consistent outcome. On the feet both men can get their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz will be likely to cause Santos problems. His boxing is dangerous yet crazy and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the ground. As Santos tires that the takedowns will be available and Santos has struggled in the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt abilities should find Blachowicz a finish once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is fast with his out and in striking. Defensively he averts trouble whilst throwing some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the feet using a riskier design. He keeps his hands but does throw aggressive combinations. The significant differential lies at the grappling section. Alvarez hasn’t shown great takedown defense on the regional scene and relies on high risk submissions off his spine. Against UFC calibre opponents this strategy succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and look for excursions and takedowns into the mat where he favours control and top position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Units to acquire 1.70 Units.
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